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- The Imputation Posterior (IP) algorithm enables us to draw
random simulations from the multivariate normal observed data
posterior
by MCMC methods.
MCMC methods represent one of the most exciting developments in
statistics in recent years, but MCMC algorithms are difficult to use
and slow. Their iterations converge to the right answer only
asymptotically. As such, there is considerable disagreement within
the statistics literature on how to assess convergence. IP also has
the problem that multiple imputation requires draws that are
independent, which is not a characteristic of successive draws from
Markov chain methods like IP. Some scholars reduce this dependency
by taking every
th random draw from IP but this requires
interperting interpreting autocorrelation functions (requiring
analysts of cross-sectional data to be familiar with time series
methods); whereas, the difficulty of running separate chains is that
the run time is increased by a factor of
, the number of
imputations. Either way, since the convergence and independence
problems depend on the worst-converging parameter, a conscientious
user would need to evaluate them all, which means consulting at
least
graphs (with 40 variables, this is 6560 graphs).
- EMis provides the same answers at IP, since it produces multiple
imputations from the exact, finite sample posterior distribution,
. It supplements the
Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm that yields deterministic
maximum likelihood values for the parameters with simulations and
importance sampling both to add back in the estimation uncertainty
and to deal with small sample problems, respectively. It is very
fast and does not rely on stochastic convergence criteria.
Next: When would Listwise Deletion
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Gary King
2003-07-25