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What do I need to know about studying voter transition rates?

The model applies as usual, but note how the quantities of interest are parameterized. In the running example, it is the fraction of blacks who vote, not the fraction of people who are both black and who vote. If the latter parameterization seems more natural for voter transition applications (e.g., the fraction of people who vote Democratic at time 1 and time 2), you need to translate the output of $ {\mathfrak{E}I}$.



Gary King 2006-09-13