Demographic Forecasting

Federico Girosi and Gary King
(with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro)

• Book Cover
• Preface and Table of Contents
• Chapter 1: Qualitative Overview
• Part I: Existing Methods for Forecasting Mortality
• Chapter 2: Methods Without Covariates
• Chapter 3: Methods With Covariates
• Part II Statistical Modeling
• Chapter 4: The Model
• Chapter 5: Priors over Grouped Continuous Variables
• Chapter 6: Model Selection
• Chapter 7: Adding Priors over Time and Space
• Chapter 8: Comparisons and Extensions
• Part III Estimation
• Chapter 9: Markov Chain Monte Carlo Estimation
• Chapter 10: Fast Estimation Without Markov Chains
• Part IV: Empirical Evidence
• Chapter 11: Illustrative Analyses
• Chapter 12: Comparative Analyses
• Chapter 13: Concluding Remarks
• Appendices
• Appendix A: Notation
• Appendix B: Mathematical Refresher
• Appendix C: Improper Normal Priors
• Appendix D: Discretization of the Derivative Operator
• Appendix E: Smoothness over Graphs
• Bibliography
• Index