Gary King

Citation:

Goldstein, Edward, Benjamin J. Cowling, Allison E. Aiello, Saki Takahashi, Gary King, Ying Lu, and Marc Lipsitch. "Estimating Incidence Curves of Several Infections Using Symptom Surveillance Data." PLoS ONE 6, no. 8 (2011): e23380. copy at http://j.mp/rnFl0z

Abstract:

We introduce a method for estimating incidence curves of several co-circulating infectious pathogens, where each infection has its own probabilities of particular symptom profiles. Our deconvolution method utilizes weekly surveillance data on symptoms from a defined population as well as additional data on symptoms from a sample of virologically confirmed infectious episodes. We illustrate this method by numerical simulations and by using data from a survey conducted on the University of Michigan campus. Last, we describe the data needs to make such estimates accurate.

Link to PLoS version