How to Measure Legislative District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See It

Citation:

Aaron Kaufman, Gary King, and Mayya Komisarchik. Working Paper. “How to Measure Legislative District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See It”. Copy at http://j.mp/2u9OWrG
Paper1.94 MB
How to Measure Legislative District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See It

Abstract:

To prevent gerrymandering, and to impose a specific form of democratic representation, many state constitutions and judicial opinions require US legislative districts to be "compact." Yet, the law offers few precise definitions other than "you know it when you see it," which effectively implies a common understanding of the concept. In contrast, academics have shown that the concept has multiple theoretical dimensions and have generated large numbers of conflicting empirical measures. This has proved extremely challenging for courts tasked with adjudicating compactness. We hypothesize that both are correct --- that compactness is complex and multidimensional, but a common understanding exists across people. We develop a survey design to elicit this understanding, without bias in favor of one's own political views, and with high levels of reliability (in data where the standard paired comparisons approach fails). We then create a statistical model that predicts, with high accuracy and solely from the geometric features of the district, compactness evaluations by 96 judges, justices, and public officials responsible for redistricting (and 102 redistricting consultants, expert witnesses, law professors, law students, graduate students, undergraduates, and Mechanical Turk workers). We also offer data on compactness from our validated measure for 18,215 state legislative and congressional districts, as well as software to compute this measure from any district. We then discuss what may be the wider applicability of our general methodological approach to measuring important concepts that you only know when you see.
Last updated on 02/09/2018